Around Las Vegas–as predicted here–‘None of These Candidates’ ballot line in Nevada keeps U.S. Senate with Dems

Posted on by November 13, 2022
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None of These Candidates

Part of mail ballot in Las Vegas

See update at end of story

In this space on October 24, I made a bold prediction. Nevada’s unique and even cynical “None of These Candidates” ballot line could cost Republicans control of the U.S. Senate. No one else I saw at the time wrote about the spoiler scenario I envisioned from the New To Las Vegas world headquarters.

Now I’m getting ready to take a bow.

For four days in a painfully slow vote count, first-term incumbent Nevada Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto trailed upstart Republican Adam Laxalt. But on Saturday night, mainly on the strength of continual counting of mail-in ballots from heavily Democratic Clark County (home to Las Vegas and 74% of the state’s population), Laxalt finally fell behind. If that holds–and almost all the uncounted votes are from Clark County–Cortez Masto will become the 50th Democrat in the 100-member U.S. Senate. With Vice President Kamala Harris’s tie-breaking vote, that would give the Dems control for another two years regardless of who wins the run-off election next month in Georgia. CNN and the Associated Press just called the race for Cortez Masto.

Laxalt is now trailing Cortez Masto by 4,982 votes. But None of These Candidates is pulling more than twice as many votes, 11,877 votes. It’s widely believed among political pros in Nevada that NOTC disproportionately draws far more votes away from disaffected Republicans than it does from disaffected Democrats. Continue reading →

Around Las Vegas, could ‘None of These Candidates’ ballot line determine U.S. Senate control?

Posted on by November 12, 2022
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None of These Candidates

Portion of mail-in ballot in Las Vegas

Nevada elections are quirky, and that was true long before voters in the county immediately to the west of Las Vegas elected a dead pimp to the state Assembly. But two unusual provisions in Nevada election law–banning write-in candidates while affording voters the option in statewide primary and general races to formally choose “None of These Candidates”–might actually determine whether Democrats or Republicans control the U.S. Senate come next January.

That’s because (1) the Senate is now split 50-50, and (2) first-term Nevada incumbent Democratic senator Catherine Cortez Masto is in a surprisingly tight race with Republican Adam Laxalt. Pollsters now rate the contest a toss-up.

This is where None of These Candidates (NOTC) might come into play as the spoiler. It is an article of faith among political experts in Nevada that NOTC attracts far more upset Republican-leaning voters in general elections than it does upset Democratic-leaning voters. There even have been several contests in Nevada where NOTC has gotten more voters than all candidates. (How do you put that on the “winning” candidate’s resume?) NOTC votes are disregarded when determining the winner, but the law requires that the results for NOTC be included in every official voting tally. A public shaming, I suppose.

Think I am engaging in rank hypotheticals? In 1998, long before I became New To Las Vegas, Harry Reid, the incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator (and later majority leader) seeking a third term, won by a scant 401 votes over Republican John Ensign. NOTC received 8,011 votes, 20 times Reid’s margin of victory. Continue reading →

Las Vegas Review-Journal touts journalism awards but buries news of circulation drop

Posted on by October 12, 2022
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circulation dropThe coverage was hard to miss. “RJ sweeps top journalism awards,” screamed the headline stripped across the top of the regional news section cover of the print Las Vegas Review-Journal on Sunday, September 25. The story said the paper took “every top investigative and institutional award in the urban division” of the annual Nevada Press Foundation competition. The story jumped to two inside pages and was adorned by 29 photos of winning staffers. The pictures included Jeff German, the investigative reporter murdered just three weeks earlier allegedly by an elected official he was writing about.

But the previous Sunday’s paper had information at least equally significant about the RJ that was much, much harder to find. It was buried in a legal notice itself buried at the right-bottom corner of page 8-G of the real estate section, near classified ads for a missing parrot, taxi driver openings and the sale of “top XXX DVDs.” In effect the RJ fessed up to yet another year of paid circulation declines, leaving the count at barely a quarter of what it was when present ownership assumed control in 2015, the year before I became New To Las Vegas.

The RJ published the data, officially called the Statement of Ownership, Management and Circulation, only because it’s a condition of having a second-class mailing permit allowing lower postage for subscriptions. This is the same kind of government subsidy the paper’s conservative editorial pages regularly bash when offered to, say, ordinary folks in the form of entitlements. (A few years back, the paper published the annual statement so full of typos it violated the requirement that it be truthful and had to publish a corrected version a week later.) Continue reading →

Forbes 400 members in Las Vegas rise 50%–to three

Posted on by September 28, 2022
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Forbes 400 list in Las VegasWay back in 1892, the highly influential New-York Tribune published the first-ever list of the richest Americans. And what a roster it was: an astonishing unranked compilation of the 4,047 persons the paper’s editors thought were “reputed to be worth a million or more.” (Based on the per-capita share then of the total U.S. economy, that’s the equivalent now of $1.5 billion each.)

But despite its scope–1 out of every 6,300 adult Americans and more than 10 times the number of swells that Malcolm Forbes nearly a century later starting in 1982 would call the Forbes 400–the Tribune list included no one living in Nevada. Why? “The enormously valuable silver mines of Nevada have laid the foundation of a large number of private fortunes,” the Tribune explained. “But the possessors of them now live in other states, the majority in San Francisco and New York City.”

They certainly didn’t live in Las Vegas. It was not yet a city and barely a place. Eight years later at the 1900 census the total population was recorded as a mere 18 (all of whom can be viewed on this single census enumeration page). The entire state population was just 42,000.

The New-York Tribune, which never again published such a rich list, is long out of business. But Forbes magazine is still around. The 41st edition of the Forbes 400 was published yesterday. The number of folks included from the Las Vegas area rose from last year by 50%.

To all of three.

That’s a shadow of the high point in 2016, the year I became New To Las Vegas, when nine folks from the area made the famous roster. Since then, failure to keep up with other fortunes, often technology-generated, has helped to take its toll on the local count. Continue reading →